As the solution to an MLE problem cannot be obtained analytically, I apply gradient search to find the solution $\hat{\theta}$ to satisfies \begin{align} \frac{\partial \mathcal{L}(\mathbf{y}\mid\theta)}{\partial \theta} = 0 \end{align} Without the expression of $\hat{\theta}$, how can I prove that \begin{align} \mathbb{E}(\hat{\theta}) = \theta \end{align} Are there any standard methods?
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Is $\hat\theta$ guaranteed to be unbiased for $\theta$? – StubbornAtom Jun 05 '20 at 15:01
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Numerically yes, by averaging $\hat{\theta}$, it does converge to $\theta$. – Richard SEU Jun 07 '20 at 12:50
1 Answers
the question appears vague...so also the answer cannot be at top
by the way, in some situation, the Bartlett Identity can helps
First Bartlett Identity: $\mathbb{E}[\frac{\partial}{\partial\theta}l(\theta;\mathbf{x})]=0$
In fact can happens that in the expression of the score you can find the expression of $\hat{\theta}$ so, using the above mentioned identity perhaps you can derive the expected value you are looking for
If you are interested in, I can think at a particular exercise to better explain what I am saying.
EXAMPLE, as requested
Let's have a random sample $(X_1,...,X_n)$ from the following density, $\theta, x >0$
$f(x;\theta)=\sqrt{\frac{\theta}{2\pi}}x^{-\frac{3}{2}}e^{\frac{-\theta}{2}\frac{(x-1)^2}{x}}$
Suppose to have the following estimator for $\frac{1}{\theta}$:
$T=\frac{1}{n}\sum_i\frac{(x_i-1)^2}{x_i}$
Tell if T is unbiased for $\frac{1}{\theta}$ that's mean: prove that
$\mathbb{E}[T]=\frac{1}{\theta}$
SOLUTION
1) calculate the likeihood
2) take the log
3) derive with respect to $\theta$ (this is the score) finding
$Score(\theta)=\frac{n}{2\theta}-\frac{nT}{2}$
Applying the first Bartlett identity you get
$\mathbb{E}[\frac{n}{2\theta}-\frac{nT}{2}]=0$
That's mean
$\frac{n}{2\theta}=\frac{n}{2}\mathbb{E}[T]$
that is also
$\mathbb{E}[T]=\frac{1}{\theta}$
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Thanks for bringing Bartlett Identity to me. Could you please give me some examples? I cannot figure it out based on the information from Wikipedia. – Richard SEU Jun 07 '20 at 12:53
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