I'd like to show that there is a periodic orbit for the system $$ x' =20-x-\frac{4xy}{1+x^{2}}, y'=3x\left(1-\frac{y}{1+x^{2}}\right)$$ in the upper right quadrant. To do this, I would like to use the Poincare-Bendixson theorem.
The only fixed point occurs at $(4,17)$ and it is repelling. I was able to find an outer rectangle which is positively invariant and would contain the inner periodic orbit. It contains the fixed point, and so as usual we need to find an inner contour where trajectories that start on it always leave in order to use PB.
My question is, how I can find an inner contour to form a positively invariant set that does not contain the fixed point and has this property?
The usual Lyapunov function $(x-4)^2 + (y-17)^2$ does not work, since the derivative is not always positive.
It was suggested to me that I use the linearized system to obtain an elliptical contour which will work, but I am not sure how to do this at all.
Any help with this question would be appreciated.